Ì쳽ƽ̨ע²á¿ª»§ÃÀ¹ú¹ú¼Òº£ÑóºÍ´óÆø¹ÜÀí¾Ö(NOAA)Ô¤²â£¬ÓÖÒ»¸ö¡°¸ßÓÚÕý³£Ë®Æ½¡±µÄì«·ç

Ìì³½µ÷Õû½±½ðÁªÏµ×Ü´úQ7884-1982µã´Ë²é¿´ÏêÇ飡


ÃÀ¹ú¹ú¼Òº£ÑóºÍ´óÆøÐ­»á(National Oceanic and Atmospheric Association)µÄÆøºòÔ¤²âÖÐÐÄ(Climate Prediction Center)ÔÚÖÜËÄ·¢²¼µÄÒ»·Ý±¨¸æÖгƣ¬½ñÄê´óÎ÷Ñó¿ÉÄÜ»áÓ­À´ÓÖÒ»¸öÑÏÖØµÄì«·ç¼¾½Ú¡£ÆøÏóÔ¤±¨Ô±±íʾ£¬“ÓÐ60%µÄ¿ÉÄÜÐÔ»á³öÏÖ¸ßÓÚÕý³£Ë®Æ½µÄ¼¾½Ú£¬30%µÄ¿ÉÄÜÐÔ»á³öÏÖ½Ó½üÕý³£Ë®Æ½µÄ¼¾½Ú£¬10%µÄ¿ÉÄÜÐÔ»á³öÏÖµÍÓÚÕý³£Ë®Æ½µÄ¼¾½Ú¡£”ÐÒÔ˵ÄÊÇ£¬ËûÃÇÔ¤¼ÆÎÒÃDz»»á¿´µ½ÓëÈ¥ÄêÏàͬˮƽµÄÆÆ¼Í¼µÄ·ç±©»î¶¯¡£´óÎ÷Ñóì«·ç¼¾½Ú´Ó6ÔÂ1ÈÕ³ÖÐøµ½11ÔÂ30ÈÕ¡£

ÃÀ¹ú¹ú¼Òº£ÑóºÍ´óÆø¹ÜÀí¾ÖÔ¤¼Æ£¬2021ÄêÎÒÃǽ«¿´µ½13µ½20¸öÒÑÃüÃû·ç±©£¬Ì쳽ƽ̨ע²á¿ª»§ÆäÖÐ6µ½10¸ö¿ÉÄܳÉΪ쫷硣´ËÍ⣬ÆäÖÐ3µ½5¸ö¿ÉÄÜÊÇ´óÐÍì«·ç¡£¸Ã»ú¹¹±íʾ£¬ËûÃǶÔÕâЩ¹À¼ÆÓÐ70%µÄÐÅÐÄ¡£

ÃÀ¹úÉÌÎñ²¿³¤¼ªÄÈ•À×Ãɶà(Gina Raimondo)ÔÚÒ»·ÝÉùÃ÷Öбíʾ:“ÏÖÔÚÊÇÑØº£ºÍÄÚ½ÉçÇøÎªì«·ç¿ÉÄÜ´øÀ´µÄΣÏÕ×öºÃ×¼±¸µÄʱºòÁË¡£”“ÃÀ¹ú¹ú¼Òº£ÑóºÍ´óÆø¹ÜÀí¾Ö(NOAA)µÄר¼Ò×¼±¸ÏòÉçÇøÌṩÕü¾ÈÉúÃüµÄÔçÆÚÔ¤¾¯ºÍÔ¤±¨£¬ÕâÒ²½«ÓÐÖúÓÚ½«·ç±©µÄ¾­¼ÃÓ°Ïì½µÖÁ×îµÍ¡£”

ÃÀ¹ú¹ú¼Òº£ÑóºÍ´óÆø¹ÜÀí¾Ö(NOAA)±íʾ£¬ÏÖÔÚEl NiñoµÄÄÏ·½Ìζ¯×´Ì¬´¦ÓÚÖÐÁ¢½×¶Î£¬La Niña¿ÉÄÜÔÚì«·ç¼¾½ÚºóÆÚÔٴγöÏÖ¡£

ÃÀ¹ú¹ú¼Òº£ÑóºÍ´óÆø¹ÜÀí¾ÖÆøºòÔ¤²âÖÐÐĵļ¾½ÚÐÔì«·çÔ¤±¨Ô±ÂíÐÞ·ÂÞÉ­¿ËÀ­Ë¹ÔÚÉùÃ÷ÖÐ˵:“ensoÖÐÁ¢ºÍLa NiñaÖ§³ÖÁËÓëÕýÔÚ½øÐеĸ߻ʱ´úÏà¹ØµÄÌõ¼þ¡£”“Ô¤¼ÆÈÈ´ø´óÎ÷ÑóºÍ¼ÓÀձȺ£µÄº£ÃæÎ¶Ƚ«¸ßÓÚÆ½¾ùˮƽ£¬ÈÈ´ø´óÎ÷ÑóÐŷ罫¼õÈõ£¬Î÷·Ç¼¾·ç½«ÔöÇ¿£¬Õâ¿ÉÄÜÊÇÓ°Ïì½ñÄêÕûÌå»î¶¯µÄÒòËØ¡£”

È¥ÄêÊÇÒ»¸ö¾ßÓÐÀúÊ·ÒâÒåµÄ´óÎ÷Ñóì«·ç¼¾½Ú£¬Ì쳽ƽ̨ע²á¿ª»§ÎÒÃÇÔÚ9Ô·ݾÍÓÃÍêÁËÈÈ´ø·ç±©µÄÃû×Ö¡£¿ÆÑ§¼ÒÃÇÔ¤²â£¬ÓÉÓÚº£Æ½ÃæÉÏÉý£¬Î´À´Ñغ£µØÇø½«³öÏÖ¸üÑÏÖØµÄºéË®£¬¶ø¸üÎÂůµÄº£Ñó½«Îªì«·çÌṩ¸ü¶àµÄÈÈÄÜ¡£Ëæ×ÅÈ«Çò±äů£¬ÈËÃÇ¿ªÊ¼µ£ÐĸüÇ¿¡¢¸ü³±ÊªµÄì«·çµÄÓ°Ïì¡£

ÃÀ¹ú×Üͳ°ÝµÇÐÇÆÚÒ»ÔÚÐÂÎÅ·¢²¼»áÉÏ˵£¬Áª°î½ô¼±ÊÂÎñ¹ÜÀí¾Ö½«Ïò“¸÷ÖÝ¡¢µØÇø¡¢²¿ÂäºÍÅ©´åÉçÇø”Ìṩ10ÒÚÃÀÔª£¬±ÈÈ¥ÄêÔö¼ÓÁËÒ»±¶¡£

°ÝµÇ˵:“ÎÒ¼á³ÖÒª×öºÃÓ¦¶ÔËùÓÐÕâЩÌôÕ½µÄ×¼±¸¡£”“ÎÒÃǽ«È·±£Áª°îÓ¦¼±¹ÜÀí¾ÖºÍÆäËûÖ÷Òª»ú¹¹µÄÈËÔ±µÃµ½ËûÃÇÐèÒªµÄÒ»ÇУ¬ÒòΪËûÃǵŤ×÷·Ç³£À§ÄÑ¡£”

Çë×ðÖØÎÒÃǵÄÐÁ¿à¸¶³ö£¬Î´¾­ÔÊÐí£¬Çë²»Òª×ªÔØÌì³½ÓÎÏ·-Ìì³½appµÄÎÄÕ£¡